18 Things You Should Know About JEPI BEFORE You Buy...

元の動画コンテンツ動画を展開する
  • Since 2020, JPMorgan's Equity Premium Income (JEPPY) has been a frequently requested ETF for review.
  • The video focuses on 18 key insights about investing in JEPPY.
  • This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Since I started my channel in 2020, there's been one ETF that people have requested I review more than any other, and in this video, we're going to talk about it. This video is for educational purposes only; it should not be considered investment, legal, or tax advice. It is not an offer to buy or sell any security. Cap performance does not indicate future results.

Investing is risky. That ETF is JPMorgan's Equity Premium Income, AKA JEPPY, and here are 18 things that you should know before you invest. We're going to start with the least important and move down to the most important.

Before we get to number 18, I wanted to introduce this week's video sponsor, which is you! Thank you to everyone who's currently supporting me on Patreon and YouTube Premium. I also wanted to shout out to anyone who has purchased my course. For those of you that have purchased the course, I have released the dividend discount module. It's about an hour covering the dividend discount model, including how to build your own in Excel, and we'll cover a couple of different stocks as an example: 3M and Visa. So if you haven't seen those videos, be sure to check them out.

If you're interested in becoming a part of the course, it's currently in beta mode, so I'm offering anyone who signs up before the course is officially released a discount on all future videos. I'm planning to add more content over time, so check it out, ask questions if you have any, and I'll make basically anything you want to know about valuation. I want to include it in this course.

So now back to the video. Here are 18 things you should know before investing in JEPPY.

Number 18: It's been a pretty successful ETF launch. Now, I know you don't care about ETF launches or how successful they are; you just want to know, is the ETF going to make me a positive return, a good return, or not? But I think it's important to remember that ETFs, or any financial products, ultimately are trying to make a profit—not for you, but for the sponsor of the ETF. This should always be in the back of your mind when you hear about a new ETF that sounds fantastic.

Remember: The job and the goal of the firm sponsoring it—in this case, JPMorgan—is to get as many assets as possible and to charge as high of a fee as possible to make them as much money as possible. Nothing wrong with that, but just be aware. By all accounts, the JEPPY launch has definitely been successful. It just came out May 20th, 2020, and since then, it's generated total assets under management of 14.4 billion. So rapid increase, and we'll see why here in a minute.

Speaking of fees, JEPPY is not cheap, but I do think it is a good value considering what it does for you. The expense ratio for this ETF is 0.35 percent. Obviously, that’s not as low as some of the S&P 500 ETFs out there, but considering that this fund is giving you some covered call writing exposure and is actually an actively managed fund underneath the hood, I think for 35 basis points that's a fantastic deal for this ETF.

Speaking of actively managed, number 16: This is kind of secretly a low volatility stock portfolio. Not just that, it’s a low volatility, I would say active stock portfolio. If you look here at the prospectus from JEPPY, it kind of gives three approaches. There's one, two, and three; I’ve blurred out the other two to focus on this one. It constructs a diversified low volatility Equity portfolio through a proprietary research process, a.k.a. active management designed to identify over and undervalued stocks with attractive risk-return characteristics. I think this risk is a big theme for JEPPY.

You can see that the top 10 holdings almost all tend to be very high quality, what you might call Blue Chip stocks. Basically, all of these are essential goods and services type companies. And what's interesting is that you do see that the beta for this fund over the last year has been 0.65, so indeed this is a low volatility ETF. You might find a lot of similarities.

Number 15: The JEPPY fund currently has 122 different holdings compared with 500 or so in the S&P 500. You can see that here. This is certainly a diversified ETF, but you are definitely getting a little bit more concentration risk than you would be with the S&P 500. However, I definitely don't think that's necessarily a bad thing. You know there is such a thing as diversification, and I think JEPPY seems to be doing a good job choosing more low volatility stocks, which aligns with the objective of the fund.

Number 14: This fund has very little tech exposure. If you take a look here at the sector allocation of the fund, and just for reference, the S&P 500 has about 27 percent in tech, and if you look here at the sector breakdown, most notably there’s only 11.1 percent in it. The biggest three sector exposures are in the low volatility Consumer Staples, pretty anti-cyclical Healthcare, and then 12.8 percent in Industrials.

Despite having little technology, it’s interesting to note that this JEPPY fund actually has a higher P/E than the S&P 500. If you take a look at the portfolio analysis from the prospectus, you see that the price earnings ratio on average for these stocks is 18.5 versus the S&P at just 16.5. Certainly, a large part of this premium would be because of quality, but it is important to note that this does tend to be a quote-unquote more expensive fund.

Number 12: This fund will go down with stocks in bad markets. This is a piece from the risk profile in the prospectus, clearly stating that the value of this fund is going to rise or fall because of changes in the broader market. So just because this is kind of an alternative covered call ETF type fund doesn't mean that you're going to be immune from any downside from the stocks it still holds—those 122 stock positions. So if the value of those positions were to decrease, so is the value of this fund.

Number 11: The reason you’re probably interested in JEPPY is that it offers a ridiculously, I mean, ridiculously high yield. The 30-day SEC yield, which is basically the last payment annualized for a year less the expenses, is a whopping 14.08 percent. Last month that was 12.5 percent, which is still staggeringly high.

If you look at the 12-month rolling dividend yield, meaning the last 12 months of dividends—and I'm going to put those in quotes—you’ll see why in a second, it was just under 10. The reason why I put dividends in quotes is that not all of this income comes from dividends that are paid out by companies. Back to the prospectus, you can see in the approach section it says that this ETF generates income through a combination of selling options and this is where most of the income comes from and investing in US large-cap stocks. It seeks to deliver a monthly income stream from associated option premiums and stock dividends.

If I were just to guess, the dividend yield of the stocks in the portfolio, I would probably guess around two percent, which means you're getting at least eight to ten percent of the income coming exclusively from these option premiums. Now some people might say that’s just a technicality, but it really isn’t; it’s a big deal. These are not dividend yields per se; this is an option premium for the most part yield.

Number 9: That big income comes with a cost, and that cost is from limited upside. So here, this is again from the prospectus of the ETF when the fund sells call options within an ELN (which we'll talk about in a second), it receives cash. So those cash dividends but it limits its opportunity to profit from an increase in the market value of the underlying instrument.

So if you have a stock at $100, the call option says that this other party is going to pay you a $10 premium, but in exchange for this $10 premium, they get to buy the stock from you at $100, no matter what it goes to. So if the value of the stock goes up to $150, this person is going to make $150 minus the $10, so a $40 pure profit. Meanwhile, let’s say the value of this stock were to drop to $50; again this person that pays you the $10 made off better than they would have for buying the stock outright.

In this case, you got $10, but your market value dropped by $50. So you were out $40. The only way receiving this $10 covered call premium really pays off for you as the seller of the covered call is if the stock price stays in a kind of a range-bound level.

Speaking of covered calls, this isn't technically a covered call ETF, which I don't think a lot of people know about. This fund actually does what are called ELNs, so it can invest up to 20 percent of its assets in ELNs which are structured as notes that are issued by counterparties. Those notes are supposed to offer a return that's linked to the underlying instrument that those ELNs seek to track.

So those instruments are designed to combine the characteristics of the S&P 500 and a written call option. In most cases, this makes no difference to you. However, it does introduce fact number 7: there is some counterparty risk in JEPPY.

So again from the prospectus, it’s saying that when this fund invests in the ELN, it does make it subject to certain debt security risks such as credit or counterparty risk. If the fund were to give money in the ELNs from a counterparty and those counterparties basically go bankrupt or fail to make payments, then that could impact the value of JEPPY. So that is I would say a small risk here, but certainly something to keep in mind.

Number 6: JEPPY will perform best in sideways/down markets. You can see that very clearly here. In the limited time the fund has been in existence, you can see that in a big bull market like 2021, this fund increased in value by 21.5 percent, which compares unfavorably to the Morningstar U.S. market index which was up nearly 26 percent.

However, when you get on a bad market like we've had so far this year, that is generally when JEPPY will outperform. Now it doesn't necessarily mean it won't go down. As you can see, the fund is down 2.5 percent for the year. However, compared with the Morningstar market index, that is quite good—most US stocks are down 16 percent, which I think brings us to a key point for JEPPY.

Number 5: It seeks to offer and generally has offered better risk-adjusted returns. Back to the prospectus and the approach, the third point is that JEPPY seeks to deliver a significant portion of the returns associated with the S&P 500 Index with less volatility in addition to monthly income. We can verify this in Portfolio Visualizer just by comparing JEPPY to a couple of different ETFs.

I added here VIG, QILD, and then the S&P 500. You can see JEPPY was down at the max negative 12.99, VIG which is the 10-year dividend growth ETF that was down 15.2 percent, and then you’ve got the competitor QILD, which is another covered call ETF that tracks the NASDAQ, that was down 22.7, and the S&P 500 top to bottom was down nearly 24. So JEPPY was the best performing top to bottom; it still went down like we talked about, but it went down less than the alternatives. You can also see that the sharp ratio and the sortino ratio both favor JEPPY, meaning these are both basically just trying to say what's the best return per unit of risk. In both cases, you see that the standouts are JEPPY and VIG.

Number 4: However, there is no free lunch, so you’re getting a better risk-adjusted return, but that means you should not—and doesn't mean you won't—but you should not beat the S&P 500 over the long run. Going back to the prospectus, it says that it seeks to deliver a significant portion of the returns of the S&P 500 index. It also says later on in the prospectus and the risk section that because this fund seeks lower relative volatility, the fund may underperform the S&P 500 Index, particularly when the market is rising.

This is just further illustrated here when you look at the index, which again is the Morningstar total market index. When the value of stocks is increasing, you see the red line, which is the Morningstar index, does substantially better than JEPPY, which is the blue line. However, when the market falls, you see that JEPPY falls quite a bit less. So that’s the trade-off. But if the market long-term is going to go up, that means that JEPPY probably long-term will not go up as much.

Also, just to be clear, both of these charts do include reinvested dividends.

The third and I think a very important point is that you should not—probably should not—buy JEPPY in a taxable account. Within the prospectus, they give a breakdown of what a taxable investor might be able to expect if they had invested in the fund. So for the period ending December 31st, 2021, the fund returns—so JEPPY returned 21.61 percent. However, if you would account for the taxes on the distributions, so the dividends (quote-unquote) that were paid, the return would then drop to 18.43.

If you would also sell the shares, sell JEPPY, and take the gain on the increase in the value of the fund, now the net returns would drop to 12.8 percent.

Number 2: Don't spend the income, at least not all of it. A major and dangerous misconception spread by several YouTubers online is that you can safely spend the income generated by a covered call ETF and not run out of money, right? You don’t have to save as much, and you can retire on the 12 percent dividend produced by this ETF or other ETFs. The reality is that’s simply not true.

Take a look here at the actual returns of the QILD ETF. The reason I use this is because it goes back to 2014, whereas JEPPY only goes back to 2020, but I think this illustrates the point quite nicely. So what I’ve done is said what if an investor with $1,000,000 at the start—in 2014—and they would start to take out $10,000 per month, which equates to about 12 percent of the portfolio each year, and they would increase those distributions each year with inflation.

Here’s what happens to the value of their funds since 2014. You can see it's not quite been 10 years yet, but the value of the covered call ETF QILD is down 76.55 percent. So you now only have $243,000 left, and that is the worst of any of these ETFs. So spending 12 percent is not a sustainable withdrawal rate, no matter whether the income (quote-unquote) is 12 or not. It’s just a very bad and dangerous idea, so just because JEPPY is paying you a large amount of income does not give you license to spend all of the income being produced. That is a sure-fire way to end up with a portfolio value that looks like you saw in the last chart.

Number 1: JEPPY is the best covered call ETF that I have seen. What I like about it is that it is truly focused on doing what it is trying to do, which is provide a better risk-adjusted return for investors, and I think it accomplishes that by both investing in lower volatility stocks and by selling the upside—the idea that covered call premiums.

So I think this ETF is potentially a pretty good pick if you’re someone that maybe thinks the market is going to go sideways or down in the future, but you still want to somewhat participate in investing in stocks. This could be a great diversifier for the portfolio, particularly when the volatility is high. That means the fund is able to sell the covered call premiums for an even greater amount.

My issues with other ETFs, specifically the NASDAQ QILD covered call ETF, is that you’re selling the upside of growth stocks, and the whole reason you’re investing in those growth stocks is because of that upside. So why would you sell it? Plus, you're retaining the downside of those more aggressive, risky stocks, which puts investors in a bad position, like you’ve seen in 2022. QILD has performed terribly, and the reason is that the underlying index, the NASDAQ, has performed terribly.

So JEPPY aligns both of the objectives of having lower volatility stock exposure with the covered calls, and I think that presents a very interesting and attractive package for investors. So if you're someone that's looking for a covered call ETF to add to your portfolio, I think JEPPY is probably one of the best choices that I've ever seen.

I hope this video was helpful for you. If you have any questions about JEPPY or anything else, let me know in the comment section down below. Thanks for watching, and I will see you in the next video.